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Whos #1? Ranking the Top 2024 Tour de France Contenders

This is the first edition of Bicyclings Power Rankings for the 2024 Mens Tour de France, where we rank the top contenders leading up to Julys race. This continuously updated list will give you an in-depth look at the riders that have the best shot to stand atop the podium at the end of the Tourand how theyre performing in the races leading up to July.

These rankings will be constantly refreshed, so you can see whos up and whos down on the road to the 2024 Tour de France.


Its mid-March and the 2024 pro road season is in full swing all over the world. But while theres lots of great racing going on at the moment, we cant help but think of Julys Tour de Franceand the men expected to be the most likely contenders to win the race overall.

This years Tour is expected to bring together the sports four best grand tour riders: Denmarks Jonas Vingegaard (Visma-Lease a Bike), winner of the last two Tours de France; Slovenias Tadej Pogaar (UAE Team Emirates), winner of the 2020 and 2021 Tours de France; Belgiums Remco Evenepoel (Soudal-Quick Step), winner of the 2022 Vuelta a Espaa; and Slovenias Primo Rogli (BORA-hansgrohe), a 3-time winner of the Vuelta and the winner of last years Giro dItalia.

Each rider is taking a different path to the Tour de France, with each mixing race days with extended periods of time spread all over Europe at training campseither alone or with their teammates. And while some of their paths will cross at certain races throughout the first half of the season, they wont all race together until the Tour. Well keep checking-in regularly as they continue competeeither alone or against one another.

Below, youll find the first edition of Bicyclings Mens Tour de France Power Rankings.


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Jonas Vingegaard

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Tadej Pogaar

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Remco Evenepoel

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Primo Rogli

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Egan Bernal


Under Consideration

For now, were capping our ranking at just five riders, as there arent many more with a reasonable chance of actually winning the Tour or contending for a spot on the final podium in Paris. But that could change over the coming weeks, and there are a few riders who might crack the top-5.

We mentioned Mattias Skjelmose (LIDL-Trek) a few times earlier in the ranking. The Dane won a stage at Paris-Nice and finished fourth overall. His next race is also the Tour of the Basque Country, and a good showing there should get him into the top-5. The biggest knock against the 23-year-old right now is the fact that hes only raced two grand tours and never finished inside the top-10. Expect that to change this year.

Spains Carlos Rodriguez (INEOS Grenadiers) was INEOS best-placed at last years Tour. The 23-year-old finished fifth in last years and has enjoyed a quiet start to the season; so far hes finished the Gran Camio and Paris-Nice.

Were also keeping our eyes on American Sepp Kuss (Visma-Lease a Bike), Spains Enric Mas (Movistar), and Ecuadors Richard Carapaz (EF Education-EasyPost).

Lettermark

Since getting hooked on pro cycling while watching Lance Armstrong win the 1993 U.S. Pro Championship in Philadelphia, longtime Bicycling contributor Whit Yost has raced on Belgian cobbles, helped build a European pro team, and piloted that team from Malaysia to Mont Ventoux as an assistant director sportif. These days, he lives with his wife and son in Pennsylvania, spending his days serving as an assistant middle school principal and his nights playing Dungeons & Dragons.

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